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Development of risk assessment framework for political risk guarantee in public private partnership project



In Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects, guarantees can be regarded as a government fiscal support. Due to its
uncertainty, one of the key challenges in guarantee valuation is to define appropriate assumptions for underlying
risk factors since infrastructure projects are not assets that can be explicitly linked to an observable market price.
While very few governments formally measure them, it is also found that sometimes the assessment on political risk
covered by the guarantees is highly subjective and ambiguous. This paper proposes a methodology that combined
quantitative and qualitative approach for contingent liabilities assessment for PPP infrastructure projects with focus
on political risk. It uses fuzzy sets based risk assessment that quantifies expert opinion on likelihood and impact
of risk factors into an input to quantitative risk analysis. A particular developing country is chosen so that the
proposed methodology can be applied according to the country and infrastructure sectors specific context.


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Judul Seri
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Management
No. Panggil
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Penerbit PT Penjaminan Infrastruktur Indonesia : Jakarta.,
Deskripsi Fisik
Hal. 1-15
Bahasa
English
ISBN/ISSN
2599-1086
Klasifikasi
NONE
Tipe Isi
-
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
-
Edisi
Vol. 01 Number 01 July 2018
Subyek
Info Detil Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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