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Wise choice



Twenty-three papers in this book address such topics as individual decision making under uncertainty, games of strategy in which one player's actions directly influence another welfare, and the process of forging negotiated agreements.

Contents
Part 1 Decision analysis
Part 1.1 Interpretation of information
1. Contrasting rational and psychological principles of choice[by] Amos Tversky
2. Sign posting: The Selective revelation of product information [by] Richard J. Information and David V.P. Marks
3. Normative validity of graphical aids for designing and using estimation studies [by] Rex V. Brown and John W. Pratt

Part 1.2 Valuation
4. Valuing billions of dollars [by] Ralph L. Keeny
5. Options [by] Ronald A. Howard
6. Measuring risk and return for portfolios [by] David E. Bell
7. Upside opportunity and downside risk [by] Richard E. Meyer
8. Does your society mismanage risk? [by] Joanne F. Meyer
9. Global decisions for the very long term: intergenerational and international discounting [by] Thomas C. Schelling

Part 1.3 Applications
10. Decision analysis in health and medicine: two decades of progress and challanges [by] Milton C. Weinstein
11. Optimizing the prenatal detection of down’s syndrome: a decision-analytic economic policy analysis [by] Joseph S. Pliskin, Orit Refaely, Yitzhak Romem, and Rivka Carmi
12. Expected values of information and cooperation for abating global climate change [by] James K. Hammitt

Part 2 Games and Decisions
13. Strategic and structural uncertainty in games [by] Adam M. Brandenburger
14. What can you learn from a game? [by] Edward A. Parson
15. Coalition formation, communication, and coordination: an exploratory experiment [by] Gary E. Bolton and Kalyan Chatterjee
16.Market entry under incomplete information [by] William F. Samuelson

Part 3 The Art and Science of Negotiation
17 Rules of the game, permissible harms, and the principle of fair play
18 Sequencing to build coalitions: with whom should I talk first? [by] James K. Sebenius
19 International trade conflict and negotiation: unilateral punishment, bilateral bargaining, and multilateral commitments [by] Heather A. Hazard
20 Dividing the indivisible [by] H. Peyton Young
21 Measuring cooperation in negotiations: the impossible dream [by] Dana R. Clyman
22 Signaling in negotiations [by] Robert Wilson

Part 4 The Art and Science of Howard Raiffa
23 The art and science of Howard Raiffa [by] Irving H. LaValle


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Informasi Detil

Judul Seri
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No. Panggil
AEC/TK/ACNFC/MEL 78 Wis
Penerbit Harvard Business School Press : Boston.,
Deskripsi Fisik
xviii, 478 p. ; 24 cm.
Bahasa
ISBN/ISSN
0-87584-677-7
Klasifikasi
AEC/TK/ACNFC/MEL 78
Tipe Isi
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Tipe Media
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Tipe Pembawa
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Edisi
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Subyek
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Info Detil Spesifik
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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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